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African mining may get China trade surplus

Posted: Wed, 12 Sep 2007

[miningmx.com] -- THE government of China could increase its investments in African mining and related companies, according to South African economist Dawie Roodt of Efficient Group. “I suspect Africa is going to get much of the $250bn [projected trade deficit] from China,” he said.

China’s government said on September 11 that its trade balance for August was a surplus of $24.97bn, a level that was expected to vault to $250bn in the future. “China is running on a huge current account because they are exporting more than they are importing and this has resulted in the country accumulating huge amounts of dollars,” said Roodt.

“China has so far used these dollars buying equities in the US but they have now formulated an investment arm known as the Chinese Investment Company, which is currently looking at investing somewhere else in the world and possibly in South Africa and the rest of the African continent,” he said.

Commodity producing states such as Nigeria, South Africa and Zimbabwe were most likely to be at the top of China’s shopping list.

“It would be very interesting to see where their target will be but I’ve got suspicions that Africa is going to get much of that $250bn,” Roodt told listeners of Classic Business, a week-nightly radio broadcast on Classic FM.

“Countries with oil, energy producing countries like Nigeria and hopefully countries like South Africa with platinum and maybe even Zimbabwe that really need that sort of investment could benefit," he said.

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"I’ve got a suspicion that a lot of that money will go into commodity producing economies. They could even buy shares in Sasol.”

In October last year, Zijin Mining Group Company bought a 20% stake in London-listed firm Ridge Mining for R120m. Ridge is developing the R1bn Blue Ridge mine and the much larger Sheba Ridge in South Africa’s Bushveld Complex.

In November 2006, the Oppenheimer family sold a third of its stake in Anglo American, the company it founded in 1917 and which has grown into the world's second-biggest miner, to China Vision Resources, controlled by billionaire Larry Yung. The stake was worth £419m.