We are clearly in elephant country here when it comes to new gold mines, and we are looking aggressively.
It's hard to pick a single highlight for Clive Johnson and the team this year, at least so far. There are so many, starting with perhaps the most important metric of all for shareholders: a doubling of the dividend to 4 US cents a year. That was built on increasing gold production following the expansion of its jewell, Fekola - a mine in Mali -, as well as the higher gold price.
Assuming an average gold price of $1,900/oz, B2Gold is calculated to generate $900m in operating cash flow, $200m more than forecast mid-year. This has also enabled B2Gold to remove debt. Entirely. Bear in mind, the company incurred $700m worth of debt in 2017 following the then much-criticised acquisition of Fekola. At the time, Fekola was forecast to produce about 276,000 oz/year of gold for 12.5 years. The reality is that the mine’s production is now some 60% of B2Gold’s 2020 total guidance of just over one million oz. And Fekola’s life of mine annual average is set around 400,000 oz, a doubling. Not even a coup on Mali could change the mood at B2Gold; in fact, Mali is - as quoted more fully below - “elephant country”. There have been solid contributions from B2Gold’s other operations - Otjikoto in Namibia (which donated 1,000 oz in gold bars in order to protect the black rhino, the numbers of which roam nowhere greater than in the southern African country), and Masbate in the Philippines.
Inevitably, the challenge now will be what to do with the cash. The investment tide is a-changing with some shareholder focus falling on re-investment. Does Johnson plump for more aggressive organic growth, or potential M&A of the truly transformative nature, especially given the value of its paper, up about 40% year-to-date?
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